A brief summary of the Ukraine debacle created by the USA and NATO was provided this month by Max Blumenthal before the United Nations general assembly in the last days of June, 2023. If you have been reading my substack then you know everything that he says is true. The only question left is “how long will they wait?”
How long will the forces of good and justice wait before taking decisive action against the liars and profiteers? How long will the American people wait for their country to crumble while they are distracted by foreign adventurism? How long will the people of Europe wait to take actions that prevent the Americans from controlling their lives? How long will people everywhere wait for world-war three to begin, and thus the end of all humanity?
It seems that the world is going mad, but maybe that’s just a matter of perspective. For many people, thinking about politics has been placed low on the flow in the need to know.
The arrogance of the west is easy to see in the way they write history and propagate mind control. World record holders and brave war heroes mask a propaganda machine that controls the nation. Americans are easily distracted. The EU is hardly any different, walking lock-step with the overtly warlike NATO alliance and other fascist forces. Ignorant of the past, the youth offer no resistance to re-born and re-formed stormtroopers backed by identity politics. Armed with cancel culture weapons like de-platforming, wokistas dominate the dialogues of western powers.
For almost a year, I have been writing about the weakness of the west. It’s important for any free thinker to pay attention to the actions of the collective west at this time. The only independent actor is the United States – the rest are merely vassals. They have no choice but to go along with the obvious hubris and absurdly comical mind control and propaganda. Recently, western mainstream media claimed that “no one visited the economic forum in St. Petersburg.” What they meant was that America and her vassal states did not attend (about 40 countries). Everyone else was there.
The Atlantic Council claims an attack on Crimea will force the Russians to fold and surrender. Thousands of Ukrainians are dying daily to such vanity and hubris. One Ukrainian soldier told Vice that they felt like Zelensky is trying to eliminate an entire generation. Graveyards tell the truth in a way that no living can.
Perhaps Scott Ritter said it best in June of 2023 – Vilnius is where the rhetoric will meet the reality. He was referring to the July meeting of NATO to be held in Lithuania. For more than a year, this powerful military complex has been propagating, propagandizing and producing the image of a united western front that is defeating the evil Russians. While there are more people in the west that are beginning to see the light, the momentum towards world-war 3 – perpetuated by the United States – seems the most obvious outcome. They will push for NATO volunteer forces to go to Ukraine and fight Russia. That is all they have left, short of all-out war.
How long will Putin wait to unleash an all-out offensive?
If you read western press only, then you might think that Putin is weak and does not attack out of fear; however, an observer of the Syrian conflict would already know that the Russian military command answers to the political establishment and as long as Vladimir Putin is at the head, they will be patient. Throughout all the escalations the past year and attacks on Russian soil, the Russians have remained patient. What are they waiting for?
For one, negotiations are not possible -- the goal posts have moved somewhat. They originally hoped on a negotiated settlement. In the early stages of the war, a peace agreement was reached in Istanbul, only to be rescinded by Bozo the Clown, the then Prime Minister of the UK. Admissions from western leaders that Minsk I and II were established only to “buy time for Ukraine to rearm and get ready for war,” have destroyed the negotiating process. Why would Russia negotiate with any western power – they cannot keep their promises and they intend to destroy Russia. So absent a political solution, there is only a military one.
Another reason they have waited has been a matter of cool calculation. In the beginning, fratricidal war was not welcomed in Russia or the Ukraine, but now things have changed somewhat as most Russians wish that Putin would intensify the war effort. Many analysts like Brian Berletic and Alexander Mercouris, to name a few, have summarized military information and come to the conclusion that the west simply cannot supply Ukraine with enough weapons to fight in the future. This offensive by Ukraine will be the last. The west does not have the industrial capacity to supply Ukraine or NATO in a fight with Russia. This status quo will not change for many years as well. The west will pressure Russia to freeze the conflict, but Russia will not agree. So, what are they waiting for?
Additionally, why should Russia attack? The west is imploding on its own. Sanctions didn’t work, but only punished the west further. China and Russia solidified a strategic and economic alliance that will soon dwarf the west. Africa and the Middle East, long suspicious of America, are realigning with Russia and China. The battleground has demonstrated the inefficiency of western armaments – people will be buying cheaper and better arms from the China-Russia consortiums which entrench their own military industrial complex. With massive shifts like this happening in the world, why would Putin wish to risk all the gains?
Finally, the “cut off the head the snake” strategy is working. Russians have been hitting command centers, depots and barracks in an effort to further destroy the command and morale of the UAF. Already, hundreds of NATO commanders and many high-level leaders of the UAF have been liquidated or sidelined indefinitely. This is why Zaluzhnyi has disappeared and many other leading heads of state have become silent. If the Russians can influence a coup of their own or remove enough of the heads of snake – Ukraine will capitulate without a bloody battle. There are now many UAF soldiers surrendering to Russian forces and the Azov police battalions are deployed behind the front to shoot deserters.
How long must we wait for the end of the conflict?
Perhaps Donald Trump is right about his assessment of Joe Biden, made after returning from a Florida court house. He said that you could take the worst five presidents of the United States and add them together and they would not compare to the disasters that Biden has unleashed. For Russia, time is clearly on their side as the west will continue to falter and fade. Elections are going to be held in America and Ukraine next year, so there is some optimism that these evil forces can be whisked away by popular demand for change. In reality, Zelensky has banned all opposition parties and jailed opponents while the American system is so corrupt that civil protest reached epidemic proportions after Trump lost the last election. Putin is not banking on a peaceful transition; it is clear now that the battlefield will be the only negotiation.
As much as Russia gains from waiting, there are forces that compel them to take swift action as soon as possible. Initially, there is the Russian public. The recent flare up with Wagner chief Yevgeny Prigozhin highlights the growing impatience with Putin’s statesmanship.
Secondly, there is the matter of morale of forces. Nearly a million Russians are trained, in position and ready to go, but only sitting in barracks and waiting. While this is preferred to body bags and cemetery stories, the Russians can only wait for so long. Eventually, they must unleash the hounds. Putin made a speech to this effect only about a week ago when he explained that the generals, and not him, would oversee the rest of the military operation. He was essentially, stepping back.
NATO will meet in Vilnius on July 11th and 12th. The real question is whether Putin will act before or after this meeting. Clearly, if those powers vote to escalate, the strike will come suddenly and without any respite. Should NATO de-escalate, then it’s possible that Russia will continue to hunt snakes while keeping their forces out of harms’ way. It has always been the belief in Russia that bloodshed is the last resort, after all, until recently, Ukrainians and Russians were good friends and still share many bonds of culture, family and history.
As well, Putin will wait until after July 4th as the patriotic fervor is at its apex in America. The Ukrainian attacks have already mapped out pathways for Russian armor to move without fear of mines. Perhaps the Russians are just waiting for the Ukrainians to finish de-mining the attack routes. The table is set for a quick and decisive blow to seize the rest of Ukraine and prevent NATO forces from intervening. The Ukraine simply does not have the manpower to defend the whole country, and when nearly a million strong invade from three sides and capture Zelensky’s government in Kiev, peace will be attained on Russia’s terms.
Hi. I am Minh from your IELTS class.